A short-term wind power probability prediction method based on soft clustering and similarity measurement

Zhiwei Liu, Xin Liu*, Lin Gong, Minxia Liu, Xi Xiang, Jian Xie, Yongyang Zhang

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

With the rapid development of wind energy, probabilistic forecasting of wind power becomes increasingly crucial for reliable operations of power grids. This paper proposes a wind power interval prediction method based on temporal data soft clustering and similarity measurement (SCSM). First, a soft clustering module is used to cluster wind power data with probabilities. Next, a similarity measurement module assesses the similarity between wind power data based on soft clustering results and generates probability interval predictions by referring to historical prediction errors. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is validated using real wind power data.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationFourth International Conference on Mechanical, Electronics, and Electrical and Automation Control, METMS 2024
EditorsZeashan Hameed Khan, Junxing Zhang, Pengfei Zeng
PublisherSPIE
ISBN (Electronic)9781510679870
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024
Event4th International Conference on Mechanical, Electronics, and Electrical and Automation Control, METMS 2024 - Xi'an, China
Duration: 26 Jan 202428 Jan 2024

Publication series

NameProceedings of SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering
Volume13163
ISSN (Print)0277-786X
ISSN (Electronic)1996-756X

Conference

Conference4th International Conference on Mechanical, Electronics, and Electrical and Automation Control, METMS 2024
Country/TerritoryChina
CityXi'an
Period26/01/2428/01/24

Keywords

  • Wind power prediction
  • interval prediction
  • similarity measurement
  • soft clustering

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