A regression forecasting model of carbon dioxide concentrations based-on principal component analysis-support vector machine

Yiou Wang*, Gangyi Ding, Laiyang Liu

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We propose Principal Component Analysis-Support Vector Machine (PCA-SVM) to forecast the changes of regional carbon dioxide concentrations. Firstly, we get the most valuable principal components of the influencing factors (IF) of carbon dioxide concentrations by PCA. Then we use the output of PCA as the input of non-linear SVM to learn a regression forecasting model with radial basis function. Due to the introducing of PCA, we successfully eliminate the redundant and correlate information in IFs and reduce the computation cost of SVM. The results of the comparative experiment demonstrate that our PCA-SVM model is more effective and more efficient than the standard SVM. Moreover, we have tested different kernel functions in our PCA-SVM model, and the experimental results show that PCA-SVM model with radial basis function performs best respecting to the learning ability and generalization capability.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationGeo-Informatics in Resource Management and Sustainable Ecosystem - 2nd International Conference, GRMSE 2014, Proceedings
EditorsFuling Bian, Yichun Xie
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages447-457
Number of pages11
ISBN (Electronic)9783662457368
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2015
Event2nd International Conference on Geo-Informatics in Resource Management and Sustainable Ecosystem, GRMSE 2014 - Ypsilanti, United States
Duration: 3 Oct 20145 Oct 2014

Publication series

NameCommunications in Computer and Information Science
Volume482
ISSN (Print)1865-0929
ISSN (Electronic)1865-0937

Conference

Conference2nd International Conference on Geo-Informatics in Resource Management and Sustainable Ecosystem, GRMSE 2014
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityYpsilanti
Period3/10/145/10/14

Keywords

  • Carbon dioxide concentrations
  • Principal component analysis
  • Regression and forecasting model
  • Support vector machine

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