Optimum Load Forecasting Model-Based Intelligent Residential System Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Nabeel Zahoor, Abid Ali, Xia Yuanqing, Burhan Ahmed, Muhammad Osman, Qamar Navid

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Accurate load forecasting has become a challenge due to the unpredictable behavior of microgrid systems. As researchers and industries implement eco-friendly intelligent residential systems, there is a need to address energy consumption issues brought on by erratic human activity and weather. A self-sufficient and intelligent green residential network has been proposed to tackle this. This system uses machine learning to predict energy load by analyzing real-time data and considering renewable energy sources such as photovoltaic, wind power, and energy storage. The proposed energy management and load forecasting optimization model is based on machine learning algorithms. Specifically, the non-linear auto-regressive exogenous neural network has shown to be the most accurate at predicting future loads with an error rate of only 0.226%. Various machine learning algorithms were analyzed to determine the optimal load forecasting solution.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2023 2nd International Conference on Emerging Trends in Electrical, Control, and Telecommunication Engineering, ETECTE 2023 - Proceedings
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9798350305654
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023
Event2nd International Conference on Emerging Trends in Electrical, Control, and Telecommunication Engineering, ETECTE 2023 - Lahore, Pakistan
Duration: 27 Nov 202329 Nov 2023

Publication series

Name2023 2nd International Conference on Emerging Trends in Electrical, Control, and Telecommunication Engineering, ETECTE 2023 - Proceedings

Conference

Conference2nd International Conference on Emerging Trends in Electrical, Control, and Telecommunication Engineering, ETECTE 2023
Country/TerritoryPakistan
CityLahore
Period27/11/2329/11/23

Keywords

  • energy management system
  • load forecasting
  • machine learning
  • microgrid
  • neural network
  • non-linear autoregressive exogenous (NARX)
  • renewable energy

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