DiffCrime: A Multimodal Conditional Diffusion Model for Crime Risk Map Inference

Shuliang Wang, Xinyu Pan, Sijie Ruan*, Haoyu Han, Ziyu Wang, Hanning Yuan, Jiabao Zhu, Qi Li

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Crime risk map plays a crucial role in urban planning and public security management. Traditionally, it is obtained solely from historical crime incidents or inferred from limited environmental factors, which are not sufficient to accurately model the occurrences of crimes over the geographical space well. Motivated by the impressive and realistic conditional generating power of diffusion models, in this paper, we propose a multimodal conditional diffusion method, namely, DiffCrime, to infer the crime risk map based on datasets in various domains, i.e., historical crime incidents, satellite imagery, and map imagery. It is equipped with a history-gated multimodal denoising network, i.e., HamNet, dedicated to the crime risk map inference. HamNet emphasizes the importance of historical crime data via a Gated-based History Fusion (GHF) module and adaptively controls multimodal conditions to be fused across different diffusion time steps via a Time step-Aware Modality Fusion (TAMF) module. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of DiffCrime, which outperforms baselines by at least 43% and 31% in terms of RMSE, respectively.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationKDD 2024 - Proceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery
Pages3212-3221
Number of pages10
ISBN (Electronic)9798400704901
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 25 Aug 2024
Event30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD 2024 - Barcelona, Spain
Duration: 25 Aug 202429 Aug 2024

Publication series

NameProceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
ISSN (Print)2154-817X

Conference

Conference30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD 2024
Country/TerritorySpain
CityBarcelona
Period25/08/2429/08/24

Keywords

  • conditional diffusion model
  • crime risk map inference
  • multimodal learning

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