Comparison of parametric and non-parametric approaches for vehicle speed prediction

Stéphanie Lefèvre, Chao Sun, Ruzena Bajcsy, Christian Laugier

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

147 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Predicting the future speed of the ego-vehicle is a necessary component of many Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) applications, in particular for safety and energy management systems. In the last four decades many parametric speed prediction models have been proposed, the most advanced ones being developed for use in traffic simulators. More recently non-parametric approaches have been applied to closely related problems in robotics. This paper presents a comparative evaluation of parametric and non-parametric approaches for speed prediction during highway driving. Real driving data is used for the evaluation, and both short-term and long-term predictions are tested. The results show that the relative performance of the different models vary strongly with the prediction horizon. This should be taken into account when selecting a prediction model for a given ITS application.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2014 American Control Conference, ACC 2014
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages3494-3499
Number of pages6
ISBN (Print)9781479932726
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2014
Event2014 American Control Conference, ACC 2014 - Portland, OR, United States
Duration: 4 Jun 20146 Jun 2014

Publication series

NameProceedings of the American Control Conference
ISSN (Print)0743-1619

Conference

Conference2014 American Control Conference, ACC 2014
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityPortland, OR
Period4/06/146/06/14

Keywords

  • Automotive
  • Modeling and simulation

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