A STAMP-Game model for accident analysis of an oil spill and explosion accident

Daiwei Li, Huixing Meng*

*此作品的通讯作者

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节会议稿件同行评审

摘要

Accidents in oil and gas storage and transportation are generated by complex socio-technical factors. Conventional accident models regard the accident evolvement as event chains, which have limitations in analyzing systems with increasing complexity and coupling. Thus accidents in complex systems can be investigated from the viewpoint of system engineering. System-Theoretic Accident Model and Processes (STAMP) is widely used to provide insights into the accident causation and risk prevention. Simultaneously, game theory can be adopted in accident analysis to depict the competition and cooperation relationships between stakeholders. This is due to that the stakeholders in STAMP can be regarded as players in game. This paper provides a new perspective to analyze accidents in the storage and transportation of oil and gas by the integration of STAMP and game theory (i.e., STAMP-Game model), with a case study of the oil spill and explosion accident in Dalian, China on July 16, 2010. The STAMP analysis uncovered the in-depth accident causal factors. Based on STAMP results, game theory was applied to analyze roles that government and companies played in the Dalian accident. Our results demonstrate that the STAMP-Game model is feasible for the causal investigation, risk prevention, and control of accidents in the storage and transportation of oil and gas.

源语言英语
主期刊名Proceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021
编辑Bruno Castanier, Marko Cepin, David Bigaud, Christophe Berenguer
出版商Research Publishing, Singapore
944-951
页数8
ISBN(印刷版)9789811820168
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 2021
活动31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021 - Angers, 法国
期限: 19 9月 202123 9月 2021

出版系列

姓名Proceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021

会议

会议31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021
国家/地区法国
Angers
时期19/09/2123/09/21

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引用此

Li, D., & Meng, H. (2021). A STAMP-Game model for accident analysis of an oil spill and explosion accident. 在 B. Castanier, M. Cepin, D. Bigaud, & C. Berenguer (编辑), Proceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021 (页码 944-951). (Proceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021). Research Publishing, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.3850/978-981-18-2016-8_495-cd