An improved model for short-term traffic forecasting considering weather impacts

Xinchao Chen, Si Qin, Jian Zhang, Huachun Tan, Yunxia Xu, Guanchen Dai, Xiaoxuan Chen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Accurate short-term prediction of traffic conditions on freeways has recently become increasingly important because of its vital role in the basic traffic management functions and trip decision making processes. The objective of this research is to utilize traffic and weather data from multiple data sources to develop an integrated model to predict traffic conditions under different rainfall conditions. A set of prediction models are compared and their performances using data from case studies are investigated and reported. The model performance was valuated using prediction errors, which are measured by the relative length of the distance between the predicted state and the observed state.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationCICTP 2017
Subtitle of host publicationTransportation Reform and Change - Equity, Inclusiveness, Sharing, and Innovation - Proceedings of the 17th COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals
EditorsHaizhong Wang, Jian Sun, Jian Lu, Lei Zhang, Yu Zhang, ShouEn Fang
PublisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
Pages784-792
Number of pages9
ISBN (Electronic)9780784480915
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2018
Event17th COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals: Transportation Reform and Change - Equity, Inclusiveness, Sharing, and Innovation, CICTP 2017 - Shanghai, China
Duration: 7 Jul 20179 Jul 2017

Publication series

NameCICTP 2017: Transportation Reform and Change - Equity, Inclusiveness, Sharing, and Innovation - Proceedings of the 17th COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals
Volume2018-January

Conference

Conference17th COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals: Transportation Reform and Change - Equity, Inclusiveness, Sharing, and Innovation, CICTP 2017
Country/TerritoryChina
CityShanghai
Period7/07/179/07/17

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