TY - JOUR
T1 - Using COVID-19 mortality to select among hospital plant capacity models
T2 - An exploratory empirical application to Hubei province
AU - Kerstens, Kristiaan
AU - Shen, Zhiyang
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2021
PY - 2021/5
Y1 - 2021/5
N2 - This contribution defines short- and long-run output- and input-oriented plant capacity measures and evaluates them relative to convex and nonconvex technologies. By applying these different plant capacity concepts, the authors seek to measure the use of existing capacities, as well as the evolution and build-up of extra hospital capacity in the Chinese province of Hubei during the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic in early 2020. Furthermore, medical literature has established that mortality rates increase with high capacity utilization rates, an insight that this study leverages to select the most plausible of eight plant capacity concepts. The preliminary results indicate that a relatively new, input-oriented plant capacity concept correlates best with mortality.
AB - This contribution defines short- and long-run output- and input-oriented plant capacity measures and evaluates them relative to convex and nonconvex technologies. By applying these different plant capacity concepts, the authors seek to measure the use of existing capacities, as well as the evolution and build-up of extra hospital capacity in the Chinese province of Hubei during the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic in early 2020. Furthermore, medical literature has established that mortality rates increase with high capacity utilization rates, an insight that this study leverages to select the most plausible of eight plant capacity concepts. The preliminary results indicate that a relatively new, input-oriented plant capacity concept correlates best with mortality.
KW - Data envelopment analysis
KW - Efficiency
KW - Free disposal hull
KW - Mortality
KW - Plant capacity utilization
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85099949913&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120535
DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120535
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85099949913
SN - 0040-1625
VL - 166
JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
M1 - 120535
ER -