摘要
Voltage, temperature, and state of charge (SOC) are the main characterizing parameters for various battery faults that can cause these parameters’ abnormal fluctuations. Accurate prediction for these parameters is critical for the safe, durable, and reliable operation of battery systems in electric vehicles. This paper investigates a new deep-learning-enabled method to perform accurate synchronous multi-parameter prediction for battery systems using a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network. A year-long dataset of an electric taxi was retrieved at the Service and Management Center for electric vehicles (SMC-EV) in Beijing to train the LSTM model and verify the model's validity and stability. By taking into account the impacts of weather and driver's behaviors on a battery system's performance to improve the prediction accuracy, a Weather-Vehicle-Driver analysis method is proposed, and a developed pre-dropout technique is introduced to prevent LSTM from overfitting. Besides, the many-to-many(m-n) model structure using a developed dual-model-cooperation prediction strategy is applied for offline training the LSTM model after all hyperparameters pre-optimized. Additionally, the stability and robustness of this method have been verified through 10-fold cross-validation and comparative analysis of multiple sets of hyperparameters. The results show that the proposed model has powerful and precise online prediction ability for the three target parameters. This paper also provides feasibility for synchronous multiple fault prognosis based on accurate parameter prediction of the battery system. This is the first of its kind to apply LSTM to the synchronous multi-parameter prediction of the battery system.
源语言 | 英语 |
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文章编号 | 113648 |
期刊 | Applied Energy |
卷 | 254 |
DOI | |
出版状态 | 已出版 - 15 11月 2019 |