TY - JOUR
T1 - Emission factors and driving forces of provincial-level CO2 from electricity production and consumption in China from 2013 to 2020
AU - Xiong, Ruoxi
AU - Fu, Chenling
AU - Chang, Huimin
AU - Li, Nan
AU - Qu, Shen
AU - Zhao, Dong
AU - Xu, Changqing
AU - Qi, Jianchuan
AU - Xu, Ming
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 Elsevier Ltd
PY - 2025/3
Y1 - 2025/3
N2 - China's power sector has significant CO2 emissions, posing a substantial reduction challenge. Current emission reduction measures lack a systematic perspective, failing to adequately consider the primary drivers of emission growth associated with electricity consumption. Most existing driving force analyses overlook the role of electricity consumption and the complexities of the power transmission networks. Furthermore, emission factors, crucial for driving force analyses, often lack timeliness, spatial accuracy, and transparency in accounting. Considering China's diverse regional disparities and varied energy patterns, this study develops a framework for CO2 emission accounting and driving force analyses. It calculates CO2 emission factors for production and consumption in each province for 2020 and uses structural decomposition analysis to identify key factors affecting emissions. Findings indicate a downward trend in CO2 emission factors from 2013 to 2020, but electricity transmission causes significant discrepancies between production and consumption emission factors. GDP growth drives increased emissions, while energy efficiency improvements reduce emissions in some regions. However, the contributions of shifts in energy structure and thermal power cleaning on emission reductions are waning. Based on these insights, the paper offers targeted policy recommendations to guide energy conservation and emission reductions in China's power industry.
AB - China's power sector has significant CO2 emissions, posing a substantial reduction challenge. Current emission reduction measures lack a systematic perspective, failing to adequately consider the primary drivers of emission growth associated with electricity consumption. Most existing driving force analyses overlook the role of electricity consumption and the complexities of the power transmission networks. Furthermore, emission factors, crucial for driving force analyses, often lack timeliness, spatial accuracy, and transparency in accounting. Considering China's diverse regional disparities and varied energy patterns, this study develops a framework for CO2 emission accounting and driving force analyses. It calculates CO2 emission factors for production and consumption in each province for 2020 and uses structural decomposition analysis to identify key factors affecting emissions. Findings indicate a downward trend in CO2 emission factors from 2013 to 2020, but electricity transmission causes significant discrepancies between production and consumption emission factors. GDP growth drives increased emissions, while energy efficiency improvements reduce emissions in some regions. However, the contributions of shifts in energy structure and thermal power cleaning on emission reductions are waning. Based on these insights, the paper offers targeted policy recommendations to guide energy conservation and emission reductions in China's power industry.
KW - Carbon transfer
KW - Electricity
KW - Emission factor
KW - Structural decomposition analysis
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85218409802&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124644
DO - 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124644
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85218409802
SN - 0301-4797
VL - 377
JO - Journal of Environmental Management
JF - Journal of Environmental Management
M1 - 124644
ER -