Traffic congestion prediction by spatiotemporal propagation patterns

Xiaolei Di, Yu Xiao, Chao Zhu, Yang Deng, Qinpei Zhao, Weixiong Rao

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

57 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Accurate prediction of traffic congestion at the granularity of road segment is important for planning travel routes and optimizing traffic control in urban areas. Previous works often calculated only the average congestion levels of a large region covering many road segments and did not take into account spatial correlation between road segments, resulting in inaccurate and coarse-grained prediction. To overcome these issues, we propose in this paper CPM-ConvLSTM, a spatiotemporal model for short-Term prediction of congestion level in each road segment. Our model is built on a spatial matrix which incorporates both the congestion propagation pattern and the spatial correlation between road segments. The preliminary experiments on the traffic data set collected from Helsinki, Finland prove that CPM-ConvLSTM greatly outperforms 6 counterparts in terms of prediction accuracy.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2019 20th International Conference on Mobile Data Management, MDM 2019
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages298-303
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781728133638
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2019
Externally publishedYes
Event20th International Conference on Mobile Data Management, MDM 2019 - Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Duration: 10 Jun 201913 Jun 2019

Publication series

NameProceedings - IEEE International Conference on Mobile Data Management
Volume2019-June
ISSN (Print)1551-6245

Conference

Conference20th International Conference on Mobile Data Management, MDM 2019
Country/TerritoryHong Kong
CityHong Kong
Period10/06/1913/06/19

Keywords

  • Short term Prediction
  • Spatiotemporal Deep Learning Model
  • Traffic congestion

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