Risk-averse decision making in overbooking problem

H. Xiong, J. Xie*, X. Deng

*Corresponding author for this work

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Abstract

Traditional literature studying overbooking problems focuses on risk-neutral decision makers. In this paper, we propose a multi-period overbooking model incorporating risk-aversion and extend well-known structural results (the 3-region policy) under the risk-neutral case to the risk-averse one on the basis of an exponential utility function. We also show that the optimal policy for the risk-neutral decision maker can be obtained by letting the risk-aversion parameter approach to zero under the risk-averse case. Therefore, the extant results under the risk-neutral case can be interpreted as a special case of ours. We also investigate how the optimal policy changes with some cost parameters and the decision maker's degree of risk-aversion. Numerical results suggest that the optimal bounds in the 3-region policy may increase or decrease with the decision maker's degree of risk-aversion.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1655-1665
Number of pages11
JournalJournal of the Operational Research Society
Volume62
Issue number9
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2011
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • inventory
  • marketing
  • overbooking
  • Revenue management
  • risk-averse

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Xiong, H., Xie, J., & Deng, X. (2011). Risk-averse decision making in overbooking problem. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 62(9), 1655-1665. https://doi.org/10.1057/jors.2010.130