Optimal blood glucose prediction based on intermittent data from wearable glucose monitoring sensors

Lijun Hou, Huipeng Zhang, Junzheng Wang, Dawei Shi*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Blood glucose prediction is to predict the glucose trend over time based on historical glucose data, and it plays a crucial role in the closed-loop control of artificial pancreas, which can reduce the risk of complications by regulating insulin dose and injection time. This paper proposes a Kalman-filter-based glucose prediction method through minimizing the mean square prediction error, which assumes that the data is sampled every 15 min from a wearable flash glucose monitoring sensor. This method calculates glucose estimates every 5 min and provides glucose predictions for the next 30 min. The method is evaluated on in-silico data generated from the 10-adult cohort of the US FDA-accepted UVA/Padova T1DM simulator. The predicted results are compared with CGM data with 5-min sample-period through multiple metrics, including the mean square prediction error and the mean absolute relative deviation. The results show that the performance of the proposed approach with slow-rate glucose data (15 min) is close to that obtained based on fast-rate data (5 min).

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 38th Chinese Control Conference, CCC 2019
EditorsMinyue Fu, Jian Sun
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Pages5463-5467
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)9789881563972
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2019
Event38th Chinese Control Conference, CCC 2019 - Guangzhou, China
Duration: 27 Jul 201930 Jul 2019

Publication series

NameChinese Control Conference, CCC
Volume2019-July
ISSN (Print)1934-1768
ISSN (Electronic)2161-2927

Conference

Conference38th Chinese Control Conference, CCC 2019
Country/TerritoryChina
CityGuangzhou
Period27/07/1930/07/19

Keywords

  • Blood Glucose Prediction
  • Kalman Filtering
  • Mean Square Prediction Error
  • Sampled Data
  • Wearable Devices

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