TY - GEN
T1 - Innovation risk-utility pathway method applied to dye-sensitized solar cells
AU - Guo, Ying
AU - Wang, Xuefeng
AU - Zhu, Donghua
PY - 2011
Y1 - 2011
N2 - New & Emerging Science & Technologies ("NESTs") are increasingly studied by Future-oriented Technology Analysts because of their potentially important "emerging applications." However, the high uncertainty and dynamics of NESTs pose special challenges to traditional forecasting tools. This paper combines methods of risk utility theory and technology path research to explore a new innovation risk-utility pathway modelling method for NESTs development. We illustrate the use of temporal change patterns and leading actor indicators, presenting illustrative results for the development of dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSC).
AB - New & Emerging Science & Technologies ("NESTs") are increasingly studied by Future-oriented Technology Analysts because of their potentially important "emerging applications." However, the high uncertainty and dynamics of NESTs pose special challenges to traditional forecasting tools. This paper combines methods of risk utility theory and technology path research to explore a new innovation risk-utility pathway modelling method for NESTs development. We illustrate the use of temporal change patterns and leading actor indicators, presenting illustrative results for the development of dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSC).
KW - Technological innovation pathway
KW - dye-sensitized solar cells
KW - innovation risk-utility pathway
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84863075577&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/IEEM.2011.6118127
DO - 10.1109/IEEM.2011.6118127
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84863075577
SN - 9781457707391
T3 - IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management
SP - 1305
EP - 1308
BT - IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, IEEM2011
T2 - IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, IEEM2011
Y2 - 6 December 2011 through 9 December 2011
ER -