Deep Learning-based Prediction of Percutaneous Recanalization in Chronic Total Occlusion Using Coronary CT Angiography

Background: CT is helpful in guiding the revascularization of chronic total occlusion (CTO), but manual prediction scores of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) success have challenges. Deep learning (DL) is expected to predict success of PCI for CTO lesions more efficiently. Purpose: To develop a DL model to predict guidewire crossing and PCI outcomes for CTO using coronary CT angiography (CCTA) and evaluate its performance compared with manual prediction scores. Materials and Methods: Participants with CTO lesions were prospectively identified from one tertiary hospital between January 2018 and December 2021 as the training set to develop the DL prediction model for PCI of CTO, with fivefold cross validation. The algorithm was tested using an external test set prospectively enrolled from three tertiary hospitals between January 2021 and June 2022 with the same eligibility criteria. All participants underwent preprocedural CCTA within 1 month before PCI. The end points were guidewire crossing within 30 minutes and PCI success of CTO. Results: A total of 534 participants (mean age, 57.7 years ± 10.8 [SD]; 417 [78.1%] men) with 565 CTO lesions were included. In the external test set (186 participants with 189 CTOs), the DL model saved 85.0% of the reconstruction and analysis time of manual scores (mean, 73.7 seconds vs 418.2-466.9 seconds) and had higher accuracy than manual scores in predicting guidewire crossing within 30 minutes (DL, 91.0%; CT Registry of Chronic Total Occlusion Revascularization, 61.9%; Korean Multicenter CTO CT Registry [KCCT], 68.3%; CCTA-derived Multicenter CTO Registry of Japan (J-CTO), 68.8%; P < .05) and PCI success (DL, 93.7%; KCCT, 74.6%; J-CTO, 75.1%; P < .05). For DL, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.89, 0.99) for the training test set and 0.96 (95% CI: 0.90, 0.98) for the external test set. Conclusion: The DL prediction model accurately predicted the percutaneous recanalization outcomes of CTO lesions and increased the efficiency of noninvasively grading the difficulty of PCI.