An approach to identify emergent topics of technological convergence: A case study for 3D printing

Zhinan Wang, Alan L. Porter, Xuefeng Wang*, Stephen Carley

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    46 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Technological Convergence (TC) reflects developmental processes that overlap different technological fields. It holds promise to yield outcomes that exceed the sum of its subparts. Measuring emergence for a TC environment can inform innovation management. This paper suggests a novel approach to identify Emergent Topics (ETopics) of the TC environment within a target technology domain using patent information. A non-TC environment is constructed as a comparison group. First, TC is operationalized as a co-classification of a given patent into multiple 4-digit IPC codes (≥2-IPC). We take a set of patents and parse those into three sub-datasets based on the number of IPC codes assigned 1-IPC (Non-TC), 2-IPC and ≥3-IPC. Second, a method is applied to identify emergent terms (ETs) and calculate emergence score for each term in each sub-dataset. Finally, we cluster those ETs using Principal Components Analysis (PCA) to generate a factor map with ETopics. A convergent domain – 3D printing – is selected to present the illustrative results. Results affirm that for 3D printing, emergent topics in TC patents are distinctly different from those in non-TC patents. The number of ETs in the TC environment is increasing annually.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)723-732
    Number of pages10
    JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
    Volume146
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Sept 2019

    Keywords

    • 3D printing
    • Emergent Terms (ETs)
    • Emergent Topics (ETopics)
    • International Patent Classification (IPC)
    • Technological Convergence (TC)

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