A STAMP-Game model for accident analysis of an oil spill and explosion accident

Daiwei Li, Huixing Meng*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Accidents in oil and gas storage and transportation are generated by complex socio-technical factors. Conventional accident models regard the accident evolvement as event chains, which have limitations in analyzing systems with increasing complexity and coupling. Thus accidents in complex systems can be investigated from the viewpoint of system engineering. System-Theoretic Accident Model and Processes (STAMP) is widely used to provide insights into the accident causation and risk prevention. Simultaneously, game theory can be adopted in accident analysis to depict the competition and cooperation relationships between stakeholders. This is due to that the stakeholders in STAMP can be regarded as players in game. This paper provides a new perspective to analyze accidents in the storage and transportation of oil and gas by the integration of STAMP and game theory (i.e., STAMP-Game model), with a case study of the oil spill and explosion accident in Dalian, China on July 16, 2010. The STAMP analysis uncovered the in-depth accident causal factors. Based on STAMP results, game theory was applied to analyze roles that government and companies played in the Dalian accident. Our results demonstrate that the STAMP-Game model is feasible for the causal investigation, risk prevention, and control of accidents in the storage and transportation of oil and gas.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021
EditorsBruno Castanier, Marko Cepin, David Bigaud, Christophe Berenguer
PublisherResearch Publishing, Singapore
Pages944-951
Number of pages8
ISBN (Print)9789811820168
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2021
Event31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021 - Angers, France
Duration: 19 Sept 202123 Sept 2021

Publication series

NameProceedings of the 31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021

Conference

Conference31st European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2021
Country/TerritoryFrance
CityAngers
Period19/09/2123/09/21

Keywords

  • Accident model
  • Game theory
  • Oil spill
  • STAMP
  • System engineering

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