TY - GEN
T1 - A Simulation-based assessment of school closure strategies during an influenza epidemic
AU - Li, Lu
AU - Fa, Zhang
AU - Cai, Hong
PY - 2011
Y1 - 2011
N2 - For assessment of school closure strategies during an influenza pandemic, we used an agent-based simulation model of influenza pandemic within a structured population of an urban community to compare the effectiveness of school closure strategies with various durations and thresholds. We found that both systemwide and individual school closure strategies could provide an effective way to reduce infection in an epidemic. In most cases, systemwide school closure is more effective than individual school closure, especially when the reproductive rate R0 of the epidemic is high. Experimenting with the various durations and thresholds, our model shows that when longer durations or lower thresholds are applied, both strategies have more effects on the epidemic. This paper provides an example of how agent-based simulation can be employed in policy evaluation and is promising in emergency management.
AB - For assessment of school closure strategies during an influenza pandemic, we used an agent-based simulation model of influenza pandemic within a structured population of an urban community to compare the effectiveness of school closure strategies with various durations and thresholds. We found that both systemwide and individual school closure strategies could provide an effective way to reduce infection in an epidemic. In most cases, systemwide school closure is more effective than individual school closure, especially when the reproductive rate R0 of the epidemic is high. Experimenting with the various durations and thresholds, our model shows that when longer durations or lower thresholds are applied, both strategies have more effects on the epidemic. This paper provides an example of how agent-based simulation can be employed in policy evaluation and is promising in emergency management.
KW - agent-based simulation
KW - emergency management
KW - influenza pandemic
KW - school closure
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=80053300712&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/ICEMMS.2011.6015624
DO - 10.1109/ICEMMS.2011.6015624
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:80053300712
SN - 9781424496631
T3 - ICEMMS 2011 - Proceedings: 2011 2nd IEEE International Conference on Emergency Management and Management Sciences
SP - 81
EP - 84
BT - ICEMMS 2011 - Proceedings
T2 - 2011 2nd IEEE International Conference on Emergency Management and Management Sciences, ICEMMS 2011
Y2 - 8 August 2011 through 10 August 2011
ER -