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Strategic phase-down of China’s coking plants unlocks major climate and environmental co-benefits

  • Hao Li
  • , Xiaolong Lu
  • , Linman Li*
  • , Bin Lu
  • , Jing Meng
  • , Leong Wai Hin Calvin
  • , Xizhen Lu
  • , Caiquan Bai
  • , Zhaohua Wang*
  • *此作品的通讯作者
  • Beijing Institute of Technology
  • Ministry of Industry and Information Technology
  • Beijing University of Technology
  • University College London
  • XiangTan University

科研成果: 期刊稿件文章同行评审

摘要

China dominates global coking production with a 70% proportion, making the decarbonization of this highly energy- and emission-intensive industry critical for resource and environmental benefits. Despite discussions of decarbonization potential at the regional level, plant-specific co-benefits and technologically driven pathways remain unclear. Here, we integrate detailed data from 329 individual Chinese coking plants—characterizing their location, capacity, technology, and age—with national carbon neutrality scenarios to develop optimized, multi-criteria retirement pathways. Plants mainly located in Shanxi are first phased out before 2030 in a business-as-usual scenario, while retirements are proportional across provinces in the low coke production scenario. Considerable co-benefits are observed, 53.4%-57.1% of water saving and emission mitigation toward 2060. Trade-offs exist due to ascending coal use if there is higher technical penetration of dry quenching. Our analysis quantifies the distinct contributions of demand reduction (driven by steel industry transformation) and structural efficiency improvements within the coking sector itself. These results provide the first granular, data-driven roadmap for managing China’s critical coking transition, offering crucial insights for maximizing environmental gains during industrial decarbonization globally.

源语言英语
文章编号124009
期刊Environmental Research Letters
20
12
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 1 12月 2025

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