Population parametrization of costly black box models using iterations between SAEM algorithm and kriging

In this article we focus on parametrization of black box models from repeated measurements among several individuals (population parametrization). We introduce a variant of the SAEM algorithm, called KSAEM algorithm, which couples the standard SAEM algorithm with the dynamic construction of an approximate metamodel. The costly evaluation of the genuine black box is replaced by a kriging step, using a basis of precomputed values, basis which is enlarged during SAEM algorithm to improve the accuracy of the metamodel in regions of interest.