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Estimating the portfolio risk with Copula-GARCH-EVT method: Empirical study of carbon market

  • University of Science and Technology Beijing

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节会议稿件同行评审

摘要

With the rapid growth of the carbon market, carbon price fluctuations are increasingly important for market participants. Carbon market risk directly affects the investor confidence and emission reduction results. In this paper we use Copula-GARCH-EVT model to calculate the Value-at-Risk of carbon futures via Monte Carlo method and demonstrate that GARCH-EVT model is the proper marginal distribution, it has higher accuracy than other marginal distribution models. The method of Copula is better than the traditional covariance metric method.

源语言英语
主期刊名Chemical and Mechanical Engineering, Information Technologies
2175-2178
页数4
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 2013
已对外发布
活动2013 3rd International Symposium on Chemical Engineering and Material Properties, ISCEMP 2013 - Sanya, 中国
期限: 22 6月 201324 6月 2013

出版系列

姓名Advanced Materials Research
791
ISSN(印刷版)1022-6680

会议

会议2013 3rd International Symposium on Chemical Engineering and Material Properties, ISCEMP 2013
国家/地区中国
Sanya
时期22/06/1324/06/13

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