Bias-variance trade-off in Kalman filter-based disturbance observers

The performance of disturbance observers is strongly influenced by the level of prior knowledge about the disturbance model. The simultaneous input and state estimation (SISE) algorithm is widely recognized for providing unbiased minimum-variance estimates under arbitrary disturbance models. In contrast, the Kalman filter-based disturbance observer (KF-DOB) achieves minimum mean-square error estimation when the disturbance model is fully specified. However, practical scenarios often fall between these extremes, where only partial knowledge of the disturbance model is available. This paper investigates the inherent bias–variance trade-off in KF-DOB when the disturbance model is incomplete. We reveal that SISE can be interpreted as a special case of KF-DOB, where the disturbance noise covariance tends to infinity. To address this trade-off, we propose two novel estimators: the multi-kernel correntropy Kalman filter-based disturbance observer (MKCKF-DOB) and the interacting multiple models Kalman filter-based disturbance observer (IMMKF-DOB). Simulations verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods.