TY - JOUR
T1 - A decoupled physics-informed expert system for stochastic trajectory prediction via spatio-temporal-frequency fusion
AU - Luo, Xinrui
AU - Qi, Wenhao
AU - Shen, Kai
AU - Deng, Zhihong
AU - Wu, Jiatong
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2026 Elsevier Ltd. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.
PY - 2026/11/1
Y1 - 2026/11/1
N2 - The modeling and prediction of complex dynamical systems underpin a wide range of engineering applications, including aerospace guidance, autonomous navigation, and robotics. However, practitioners face a persistent cybernetic dilemma: reconciling deterministic physical knowledge with perturbed trajectories and measurements contaminated by multi-scale, non-Gaussian sensor noise and environmental disturbances. To address these gaps, we propose a decoupled physics-informed expert system centered on architectural separation and hierarchical fusion. The proposed framework structurally separates deterministic physical trajectory generation from stochastic deviation modeling. Specifically, a Physics-Informed Trajectory Generation Network (PITGN) establishes a physically consistent baseline trajectory using a velocity-level PINN constraint, while a Stochastic Time-Frequency Dynamics Network (STFD-Net) models the deviation needed to map the baseline trajectory to the disturbed trajectory by integrating a Learnable Spectral Wavelet Attention (LSWA) mechanism with a Neural SDE decoder. Extensive experiments on a high-fidelity 7-DOF aviation dataset demonstrate that our system achieves a mean absolute error of 5.05 m, significantly outperforming traditional filters and standard deep learning baselines. With an inference latency of 25 ms, this modular architecture demonstrates potential for practical deployment, and provides a structured framework for real-time trajectory prediction under uncertain navigation conditions.
AB - The modeling and prediction of complex dynamical systems underpin a wide range of engineering applications, including aerospace guidance, autonomous navigation, and robotics. However, practitioners face a persistent cybernetic dilemma: reconciling deterministic physical knowledge with perturbed trajectories and measurements contaminated by multi-scale, non-Gaussian sensor noise and environmental disturbances. To address these gaps, we propose a decoupled physics-informed expert system centered on architectural separation and hierarchical fusion. The proposed framework structurally separates deterministic physical trajectory generation from stochastic deviation modeling. Specifically, a Physics-Informed Trajectory Generation Network (PITGN) establishes a physically consistent baseline trajectory using a velocity-level PINN constraint, while a Stochastic Time-Frequency Dynamics Network (STFD-Net) models the deviation needed to map the baseline trajectory to the disturbed trajectory by integrating a Learnable Spectral Wavelet Attention (LSWA) mechanism with a Neural SDE decoder. Extensive experiments on a high-fidelity 7-DOF aviation dataset demonstrate that our system achieves a mean absolute error of 5.05 m, significantly outperforming traditional filters and standard deep learning baselines. With an inference latency of 25 ms, this modular architecture demonstrates potential for practical deployment, and provides a structured framework for real-time trajectory prediction under uncertain navigation conditions.
KW - Physics-Informed Neural Network
KW - Spectral Wavelet
KW - Trajectory Prediction
KW - Transformer
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105040663197
U2 - 10.1016/j.eswa.2026.132985
DO - 10.1016/j.eswa.2026.132985
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105040663197
SN - 0957-4174
VL - 329
JO - Expert Systems with Applications
JF - Expert Systems with Applications
M1 - 132985
ER -