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VMD-MSANet: A multi-scale attention network for stock series prediction with Variational Mode Decomposition

  • Yunzhu Chen
  • , Neng Ye
  • , Wenyu Zhang
  • , Sijia Lv
  • , Liwei Shao*
  • , Xiangming Li*
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Beijing Institute of Technology

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The stock market is a crucial component of the financial system. Accurate prediction of its price is essential for effective risk management and informed investment decision-making. However, the complex dynamics of the stock market, including multi-scale non-stationarity and complex stock-market interactions, pose significant challenges for prediction. To address these challenges, we introduce VMD-MSANet, a stock price prediction model that combines Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) with a multi-scale attention mechanism. We employ VMD to decompose the stock price series into sub-components with distinct frequency components, and use the multi-scale attention mechanism to capture both short-term and long-term temporal patterns effectively. By incorporating external market factors, the model enhances its comprehensive understanding and adaptability to the market environment. Extensive experiments on the Chinese market demonstrate that VMD-MSANet achieves higher predictive accuracy and exhibits enhanced robustness and generalization compared to existing state-of-the-art methods.

Original languageEnglish
Article number130854
JournalNeurocomputing
Volume650
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 14 Oct 2025

Keywords

  • Decomposition-and-ensemble
  • Multi-scale attention network
  • Stock series prediction
  • Variational Mode Decomposition

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