Two-stage aging trajectory prediction of LFP lithium-ion battery based on transfer learning with the cycle life prediction

With the wide application of the LFP lithium-ion batteries, more attention is paid to the battery life and future aging behaviors as the safety and performance of the battery are guaranteed by accurate battery aging monitoring. In recent years, long-term aging trajectory prediction of the lithium-ion battery is always a challenge due to its complex nonlinear aging behaviors especially the aging behaviors in the two aging stages are quite different when the battery experiences the two-stage aging process under fast-charging conditions. Thus, it is harder to achieve accurate long-term aging trajectory prediction of the LFP lithium-ion batteries on the condition of the two-stage aging process. To address it, a novel transfer learning strategy combined with the cycle life prediction technology is presented in this paper. Specifically, a new cycle life prediction method is proposed based on feature extraction and deep learning technology and achieves accurate cycle life prediction. The transfer learning is started by developing a base aging model offline to learn the information of the two-stage aging process. Then, taking the predicted cycle life as its prior information, the Bayesian model migration technology is employed to predict the aging trajectory accurately, and the uncertainty of the aging trajectory is quantified. Two batches of the battery datasets are used for performance evaluation and comparison with two benchmarks. It is novel to combine the cycle life prediction and transfer learning technique to achieve accurate two-stage aging trajectory prediction with only a few data available (first 30%).