Mining subgraphs from propagation networks through temporal dynamic analysis

An alarm is raised due to a defect in a transportation system. Given a graph over which the alarms propagate, we aim to exploit a set of subgraphs with highly correlated nodes (or entities). The edge weight between each pair of entities can be computed using the temporal dynamics of the propagation process. We retrieve the top k edge weights and each group of connected entities can consequently form a tightly coupled subgraph. However, numerous challenges abound. First, the textual contents associated with the alarms of the same type differ during the propagation process. Hence, in the lack of textual data, the temporal information can only be employed to compute the correlation weights. Second, in many scenarios, the same alarm does not propagate. Third, given a pair of entities, the propagation can occur in both directions. Most of the prior work only consider the time-window and assume that the propagation between a pair of entities occurs sequentially. But, the propagation process should be inferred using miscellaneous temporal features. Therefore, we devise a generative approach that, on the one hand, utilizes infinite temporal latent factors (e.g. hour, day, and etc.) to compute the correlation weights, and on the other hand, analyzes how an alarm in one entity can cause a set of alarms in another. We also conduct an extensive set of experiments to compare the performance of the subgraph mining methods. The results show that our unified framework can effectively exploit the tightly coupled subgraphs.