ITPNet: Towards Instantaneous Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving

Rongqing Li, Changsheng Li*, Yuhang Li, Hanjie Li, Yi Chen, Ye Yuan, Guoren Wang

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Trajectory prediction of moving traffic agents is crucial for the safety of autonomous vehicles, whereas previous approaches usually rely on sufficiently long-observed trajectory (e.g., 2 seconds) to predict the future trajectory of the agents. However, in many real-world scenarios, it is not realistic to collect adequate observed locations for moving agents, leading to the collapse of most prediction models. For instance, when a moving car suddenly appears and is very close to an autonomous vehicle because of the obstruction, it is quite necessary for the autonomous vehicle to quickly and accurately predict the future trajectories of the car with limited observed trajectory locations. In light of this, we focus on investigating the task of instantaneous trajectory prediction, i.e., two observed locations are available during inference. To this end, we put forward a general and plug-and-play instantaneous trajectory prediction approach, called ITPNet. Specifically, we propose a backward forecasting mechanism to reversely predict the latent feature representations of unobserved historical trajectories of the agent based on its two observed locations and then leverage them as complementary information for future trajectory prediction. Meanwhile, due to the inevitable existence of noise and redundancy in the predicted latent feature representations, we further devise a Noise Redundancy Reduction Former (NRRFormer) module, which aims to filter out noise and redundancy from unobserved trajectories and integrate the filtered features and observed features into a compact query representation for future trajectory predictions. In essence, ITPNet can be naturally compatible with existing trajectory prediction models, enabling them to gracefully handle the case of instantaneous trajectory prediction. Extensive experiments on the Argoverse and nuScenes datasets demonstrate ITPNet outperforms the baselines by a large margin and shows its efficacy with different trajectory prediction models.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationKDD 2024 - Proceedings of the 30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery
Pages1643-1654
Number of pages12
ISBN (Electronic)9798400704901
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 24 Aug 2024
Event30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD 2024 - Barcelona, Spain
Duration: 25 Aug 202429 Aug 2024

Publication series

NameProceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
ISSN (Print)2154-817X

Conference

Conference30th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD 2024
Country/TerritorySpain
CityBarcelona
Period25/08/2429/08/24

Keywords

  • backward forecasting
  • instantaneous trajectory prediction
  • noise and redundancy reduction

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