Abstract
New & Emerging Science & Technologies ("NESTs") are increasingly studied by Future-oriented Technology Analysts because of their potentially important "emerging applications." However, the high uncertainty and dynamics of NESTs pose special challenges to traditional forecasting tools. This paper combines methods of risk utility theory and technology path research to explore a new innovation risk-utility pathway modelling method for NESTs development. We illustrate the use of temporal change patterns and leading actor indicators, presenting illustrative results for the development of dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSC).
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, IEEM2011 |
| Pages | 1305-1308 |
| Number of pages | 4 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2011 |
| Event | IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, IEEM2011 - Singapore, Singapore Duration: 6 Dec 2011 → 9 Dec 2011 |
Publication series
| Name | IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management |
|---|---|
| ISSN (Print) | 2157-3611 |
| ISSN (Electronic) | 2157-362X |
Conference
| Conference | IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, IEEM2011 |
|---|---|
| Country/Territory | Singapore |
| City | Singapore |
| Period | 6/12/11 → 9/12/11 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 9 Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
Keywords
- Technological innovation pathway
- dye-sensitized solar cells
- innovation risk-utility pathway
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