Abstract
Promotion of a fair and low-carbon transition is key to sustainable development. Energy quota trading policies (EQTP) are a crucial experiment in China's energy market reform, but their ability to provide a “dual dividend” of environmental control and income distribution improvement needs additional study. Using 2007–2022 city-level statistics and micro-level data from Chinese listed businesses, this analysis treats the EQTP as a quasi-natural experiment. A staggered DID model is used to evaluate the EQTP's influence on company and regional labor income share (LS). On average, the EQTP boosts firm-level LS by 2.34 %. Mechanism analysis shows that the “substitution effect” and “output effect” drive this growth. However, city-level study shows that the EQTP has no statistically significant influence on regional LS. To tackle this “micro-macro paradox,” the study breaks down LS alterations. The decomposition results demonstrate that the substitution impact inside businesses increases LS most, but negative inter-firm resource allocation and firm exit effects in the aggregation process somewhat counteract this positive effect. Heterogeneity study shows that the EQTP has a greater distributional improvement effect in non-resource-based cities, non-former industrial bases, heavy-pollution industries, and high-tech sectors. This study offers policy ideas for carbon neutrality and factor allocation optimization.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 109073 |
| Journal | Energy Economics |
| Volume | 153 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Jan 2026 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Dual dividend
- Energy quota trading policy
- Factor income distribution
- Output effect
- Substitution effect