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Does energy trilemma a driver of economic growth? The roles of energy use, population growth, and financial development

  • Irfan Khan
  • , Fujun Hou*
  • , Muhammad Irfan*
  • , Abdulrasheed Zakari
  • , Hoang Phong Le
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Beijing Institute of Technology
  • Alma Mater Europaea ECM
  • Ho Chi Minh City University of Law

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Economic growth can increase the economy's energy intensity, impeding security through unmanaged demand and affecting sustainability. This study employed energy use, population growth, and financial development from 1990 to 2016 as moderator variables to examine the impact of energy trilemma on the economic growth of the top ten countries in the World Energy Trilemma Index (WETI) 2020. We applied advanced econometric methodologies for empirical analysis, such as second-generation panel unit root tests, and cross-section dependence. Besides, we used the random-effect and fixed effect panel generalized method of moments (GMM) for short-run estimates and the random effect and fixed effect generalized least squares (GLS) regressions and robust fully modified least squares (FMOLS) regression for the long-run estimates. The results indicate that the impact of energy trilemma and population growth on economic growth are significant only in the long-run, while energy use and financial development influence economic growth in both the short-run and the long-run. Our findings suggest that policymakers implement lesser potential for Pareto perfections in the energy system by levying energy security, affordability, and sustainability taxes on energy products, and that they highlight energy efficiency and support robust policies to enhance financial development. Study limitations and directions for future research in the area are discussed.

Original languageEnglish
Article number111157
JournalRenewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
Volume146
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2021

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
    SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy
  2. SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
    SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth

Keywords

  • Economic growth
  • Energy trilemma
  • Energy use
  • Financial development
  • Top ten countries of the WETI 2020

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