Abstract
Crude oil price has an important effect on national economic production and safety-stock. In this paper, we analysed the trends of Chinese and international crude oil prices and their fluctuations by testing the Granger causality and the dynamic effects to its counterpart. Results show that from 1997, the trends of Chinese and international crude oil prices are almost identical. The fluctuation of the Chinese price is less than that of international crude oil price. Over the longer term, there is bilateral Granger causality between Chinese and international crude oil prices. However, the impact of international price on the Chinese price is rapid and dramatic: whilst the impact of the latter on the former is relatively slow and small.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 61-76 |
| Number of pages | 16 |
| Journal | International Journal of Global Energy Issues |
| Volume | 27 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2007 |
| Externally published | Yes |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy
Keywords
- Causality
- Co-integration
- Crude oil price
- Impulse-response
- Variance decomposition
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