TY - JOUR
T1 - Adjustable cash inflows based online investment decision making
AU - Lyu, Benmeng
AU - Guo, Sini
AU - Gu, Jia Wen
AU - Ching, Wai Ki
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 Elsevier Ltd
PY - 2025/7/25
Y1 - 2025/7/25
N2 - Online portfolio selection tackles the sequential investment decision making and optimization issues with the market information updated constantly. In this work, we propose two novel online portfolio selection algorithms, ACIE and ACIE2, for online investment with dynamically adjustable cash inflows. Unlike traditional models that assume a fixed capital base, our framework allows investors to flexibly adjust capital injection levels over time, guided by return forecasting. ACIE optimizes portfolio weights and cash inflow proportion in a single-period setting, while ACIE2 extends this to a two-period lookahead optimization, offering improved stability and foresight. Both models are formulated as nonlinear constrained optimization problems, which can be solved by trust region interior point methods. Extensive experiments across four real-world datasets validate that our methods outperform a broad range of baseline strategies in terms of cumulative wealth, Sharpe ratio, and Calmar ratio. Additionally, we demonstrate that the dynamic cash inflow mechanism enhances risk control and adapts effectively to different market environments, making our approach practical and effective for real-world investment management.
AB - Online portfolio selection tackles the sequential investment decision making and optimization issues with the market information updated constantly. In this work, we propose two novel online portfolio selection algorithms, ACIE and ACIE2, for online investment with dynamically adjustable cash inflows. Unlike traditional models that assume a fixed capital base, our framework allows investors to flexibly adjust capital injection levels over time, guided by return forecasting. ACIE optimizes portfolio weights and cash inflow proportion in a single-period setting, while ACIE2 extends this to a two-period lookahead optimization, offering improved stability and foresight. Both models are formulated as nonlinear constrained optimization problems, which can be solved by trust region interior point methods. Extensive experiments across four real-world datasets validate that our methods outperform a broad range of baseline strategies in terms of cumulative wealth, Sharpe ratio, and Calmar ratio. Additionally, we demonstrate that the dynamic cash inflow mechanism enhances risk control and adapts effectively to different market environments, making our approach practical and effective for real-world investment management.
KW - Adjustable cash inflows
KW - Nonlinear programming
KW - Online portfolio selection
KW - Transaction cost
KW - Trust region method
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=105004365416&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127940
DO - 10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127940
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105004365416
SN - 0957-4174
VL - 284
JO - Expert Systems with Applications
JF - Expert Systems with Applications
M1 - 127940
ER -