Accurate Time-to-go Prediction via Polynomial Approach

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

This paper focuses on the prediction algorithm of time-to-go for velocity-uncontrollable vehicles flying towards a target position in three-dimensional space. A novel prediction algorithm based on cubic polynomial fitting is proposed, which simplifies the nonlinear differential equation model into a linearly solvable polynomial model, and then obtains the mathematical expressions for the time-to-go and average velocity, thereby achieving precise prediction. Moreover, by replacing the constant velocity assumption with the time-varying average velocity, the prediction accuracy of the time-to-go has been improved under the time-varying velocity model. Additionally, polynomial expressions are utilized to generate subsequent guidance commands, and the computational load on onboard systems is reduced. The effectiveness of the proposed method in terms of prediction accuracy and its broad applicability in impact time control guidance are validated through multiple simulation scenarios.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2nd Aerospace Frontiers Conference, AFC 2025 - Volume IV
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages636-651
Number of pages16
ISBN (Print)9789819530151
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2026
Externally publishedYes
Event2nd Aerospace Frontiers Conference, AFC 2025 - Beijing, China
Duration: 11 Apr 202514 Apr 2025

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering
ISSN (Print)2195-4356
ISSN (Electronic)2195-4364

Conference

Conference2nd Aerospace Frontiers Conference, AFC 2025
Country/TerritoryChina
CityBeijing
Period11/04/2514/04/25

Keywords

  • Impact time control guidance
  • Polynomial fitting
  • Time-to-go prediction
  • Velocity-uncontrollable vehicle

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