TY - GEN
T1 - Accurate Time-to-go Prediction via Polynomial Approach
AU - Du, Yuanfu
AU - Wang, Jiang
AU - Liu, Zichao
AU - Li, Hongyan
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© Press of Acta Aeronautica et Astronautica Sinica 2026.
PY - 2026
Y1 - 2026
N2 - This paper focuses on the prediction algorithm of time-to-go for velocity-uncontrollable vehicles flying towards a target position in three-dimensional space. A novel prediction algorithm based on cubic polynomial fitting is proposed, which simplifies the nonlinear differential equation model into a linearly solvable polynomial model, and then obtains the mathematical expressions for the time-to-go and average velocity, thereby achieving precise prediction. Moreover, by replacing the constant velocity assumption with the time-varying average velocity, the prediction accuracy of the time-to-go has been improved under the time-varying velocity model. Additionally, polynomial expressions are utilized to generate subsequent guidance commands, and the computational load on onboard systems is reduced. The effectiveness of the proposed method in terms of prediction accuracy and its broad applicability in impact time control guidance are validated through multiple simulation scenarios.
AB - This paper focuses on the prediction algorithm of time-to-go for velocity-uncontrollable vehicles flying towards a target position in three-dimensional space. A novel prediction algorithm based on cubic polynomial fitting is proposed, which simplifies the nonlinear differential equation model into a linearly solvable polynomial model, and then obtains the mathematical expressions for the time-to-go and average velocity, thereby achieving precise prediction. Moreover, by replacing the constant velocity assumption with the time-varying average velocity, the prediction accuracy of the time-to-go has been improved under the time-varying velocity model. Additionally, polynomial expressions are utilized to generate subsequent guidance commands, and the computational load on onboard systems is reduced. The effectiveness of the proposed method in terms of prediction accuracy and its broad applicability in impact time control guidance are validated through multiple simulation scenarios.
KW - Impact time control guidance
KW - Polynomial fitting
KW - Time-to-go prediction
KW - Velocity-uncontrollable vehicle
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105022897625
U2 - 10.1007/978-981-95-3016-8_42
DO - 10.1007/978-981-95-3016-8_42
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:105022897625
SN - 9789819530151
T3 - Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering
SP - 636
EP - 651
BT - Proceedings of the 2nd Aerospace Frontiers Conference, AFC 2025 - Volume IV
PB - Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
T2 - 2nd Aerospace Frontiers Conference, AFC 2025
Y2 - 11 April 2025 through 14 April 2025
ER -