A system dynamics based model for coal investment

Ying Fan*, Rui Guang Yang, Yi Ming Wei

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

20 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Coal is the dominating energy source in China. Although the supply and demand of coal has kept equilibrium along with China's continuous and steady economic development in recent years, the sustainable production ability has been seriously decreasing. In this paper, a system dynamics model is developed taking the investment in coal industry, available reserves, mine construction and coal supply capability into account. With the model, the impact of the investment in state-owned mines and geological prospecting is investigated. And the optimal investment size is put forward.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)898-905
Number of pages8
JournalEnergy
Volume32
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2007
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Coal investment
  • Forecast
  • Simulation
  • System dynamics

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